Ayuningtyas, Arsa Sasti and Prof. Dr. Ir. Budi Sugiarto Waloejo, MSP. and Ir. Ismu Rini Dwi Ari, MT., Ph.D. (2023) Probabilitas Perpindahan Moda Baru BRT terhadap Pengguna Kendaraan Pribadi di Kabupaten Bogor. Sarjana thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.
Abstract
Kabupaten Bogor merupakan daerah penyokong Ibu Kota DKI Jakarta dan menjadi bagian dari kota metropolitan JABODETABEK-PUNJUR, menyebabkan meningkatnya laju pertumbuhan penduduk setiap tahunnya. Peningkatan jumlah penduduk berbanding lurus dengan meningkatnya jumlah kendaraan pribadi di Kabupaten Bogor. Sayangnya, hal tersebut tidak diikuti dengan angka jumlah kendaraan umum, di mana setiap tahunnya mengalami penurunan. Akibatnya, kemacetan menjadi permasalahan transportasi yang tidak dapat dihindari. Pemerintah daerah kemudian merencanakan pengembangan BRT intra perkotaan di Perkotaan Cibinong sebagai upaya mengurangi penggunaan kendaraan pribadi. Harapannya dalam jangka panjang, rencana tersebut juga dapat mengurai kemacetan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi karakteristik faktor-faktor pemilihan moda, membuat model pemilihan moda, dan probabilitas perpindahan moda ke BRT oleh pengguna kendaraan pribadi di Kabupaten Bogor. Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode penelitian kuantitatif. Pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui penyebaran kuesioner yang kemudian diolah menggunakan analisis statistik deskriptif untuk mengidentifikasi karakteristik faktor pemilihan moda pengguna kendaraan pribadi. Data tersebut juga diolah menggunakan analisis regresi multinomial logit dan analisis probabilitas perpindahan moda. Terdapat 8 model pemilihan moda yang dihasilkan dari analisis multinomial logit. 4 model dihasilkan berdasarkan karakteristik pelaku perjalanan, karakteristik pergerakan, dan karakteristik moda transportasi, sedangkan 4 model lainnya didasarkan pada karakteristik kebijakan transportasi. Hasil akhir dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa probabilitas terjadinya perpindahan moda dari kendaraan pribadi ke BRT pada kondisi eksisting tanpa mengubah nilai apapun adalah sebesar 4%. Persentase probabilitas akan naik menjadi 18% apabila memaksimalkan usulan kebijakan transportasi di wilayah studi.
English Abstract
Bogor Regency serves as a region that provides support to the capital city of DKI Jakarta and is an integral part of the JABODETABEK-PUNJUR metropolitan area, thereby contributing to the annual escalation in population growth rate. The rise in population is directly correlated with the concurrent increase in the number of private transportation within Bogor Regency. Regrettably, this phenomenon is not accompanied by a commensurate increment in the number of public transportation, which instead exhibits a yearly decline. As a result, transportation congestion has emerged as an inescapable challenge. The regional government subsequently formulated a strategic plan to implement an urban Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system within the Cibinong urban area, aiming to mitigate the reliance on private transportation. The overarching objective is to address the long-standing issue of traffic congestion, with hopes that this plan will yield positive outcomes in the long run. The objective of this research is to identify the characteristics of mode choice factors, construct a mode choice model, and ascertain the probability of mode shifting to Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) among private transportastion users in Bogor Regency. The research methodology employed in this research is quantitative research method. Data collection was carried out through the dissemination of questionnaires, which were subsequently processed using descriptive statistical analysis to discern the characteristics of mode choice factors among private transportation users. The data was also analyzed using multinomial logit regression analysis and probability analysis of mode shifting. A total of eight mode choice models were derived from the multinomial logit analysis. Four of these models were formulated based on the characteristics of travel participants, movement patterns, and transportation mode attributes, while the other four models were developed considering transportation policy characteristics. The ultimate findings of this research reveal that, under the existing conditions without any alterations to the variables, the probability of mode transition from private transportation to BRT stands at 4%. The percentage probability is projected to rise to 18% by maximizing the implementation of proposed transportation policy measures within the research area.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Sarjana) |
|---|---|
| Identification Number: | 052307 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | kendaraan pribadi, pemilihan moda, perpindahan moda |
| Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 388 Transportation |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Teknik > Teknik Perencanaa Wilayah dan Kota |
| Depositing User: | Unnamed user with username tunjungsari |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2024 02:11 |
| Last Modified: | 15 Jan 2024 02:11 |
| URI: | http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/209686 |
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Text (DALAM MASA EMBARGO)
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