Ksamawan, K. Dwi Wahyu and Prof. Dr. Ghozali Maskie,, SE., MS and David Kaluge,, SE., M.Ec-Dev., Ph.D (2018) Analisis Pengaruh Kedatangan Wisatawan Mancanegara Berdasarkan Daerah Asal Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia. Magister thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.
Abstract
Pengaruh kedatangan wisatawan mancanenegara berdasarkan daerah asal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dianalisis pada penelitian ini, dengan menggunakan data PDB sebagai proxy pertumbuhan ekonomi, jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, Indeks Harga Konsumen, dan Kurs periode triwulanan tahun 2007 – 2016. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan metode regresi Error Correction Model (ECM) dengan perhitungan jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan berpengaruh terhadap PDB pada kontinen Asia, Europe, Middle East, dan Oceania sedangkan pada jangka panjang pada seluruh kontinen kecuali America. Variabel kurs dalam jangka pendek berpengaruh negatif terhadap PDB pada Kontinen Amerika dan Middle East , sedangkan pada jangka panjang variabel kurs berpengaruh positif terhadap PDB pada kontinen Asean dan Europe. Variabel IHK hanya berpengaruh positif terhadap PDB dalam jangka panjang pada seluruh kontinen kecuali America. Sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa ternyata tidak semua kontinen memberikan dampak positif terhadap PDB salah satunya yaitu kontinen America, sehingga dalam rangka upaya optimasi dan peningkatan pertumbuhan ekonomi disini perlu ditekankan bahwa biaya untuk pengembangan sektor pariwisata dengan sasaran wisatawan kontinen America sebaiknya bisa dialokasikan lebih proporsional atau dialihkan ke kontinen Asia, Asean, Oceania, Europe dan Middle East.
English Abstract
This research aims to analyze the influence of foreign tourist arrival based on area of origin on the economic growth by using GDP data as a proxy of the economic growth, the visit count of tourist, Consumer Price Index and exchange rate on a quarterly period in 2007 – 2016. This research uses secondary data which are Error Correction Model (ECM) regression method and both of the long-term and short-term estimation. The results of this research show that the visit count of tourist has an influence on the GDP of Asia, Europe, Middle East and Oceania continents while the long-term estimation has an influence on the entire continents except America. The exchange rate variable in the short-term has a negative influence on the GDP of America and Middle East, while the exchange rate variable in the long-term has a positive influence on the GDP of ASEAN and Europe. Moreover, the CPI variable only has a positive influence on the GDP in the long-term of the entire continents, except America. In conclusion, not all of the continents have a positive impact on the GDP and one of them is America continent. Therefore in order to have an optimization and to increase the economic growth, it is important to consider that to finance the development of tourism sector whose target is America continent, it is rather more noteworthy to allocate those money proportionally into Asia, Asean, Oceanie, Europe and Middle East continents
Other obstract
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| Item Type: | Thesis (Magister) |
|---|---|
| Identification Number: | TES/338.479 1/FE/a/2018/041901633 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Pariwisata, Error Correction Model, PDB, Tourism, Error Correction Model, GDP. |
| Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 338 Production > 338.4 Secondary industries and services > 338.47 Services and specific products > 338.479 1 Services and specific products (Geography and travel) |
| Divisions: | S2/S3 > Magister Ilmu Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis |
| Depositing User: | Nur Cholis |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Aug 2022 01:27 |
| Last Modified: | 23 Aug 2022 01:27 |
| URI: | http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/193421 |
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