Desentralisasi Fiskal Dan Konvergensi Pendapatan Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Di Pulau Jawa: Pendekatan Ekonometrika Spasial

Anggraeni, Rima Melati and Prof.Dr. Moh. Khusaini and Dr. rer. pol. Ferry Prasetyia (2022) Desentralisasi Fiskal Dan Konvergensi Pendapatan Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Di Pulau Jawa: Pendekatan Ekonometrika Spasial. Magister thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.

Abstract

Dalam rangka menurunkan ketimpangan regional, dibutuhkan suatu mekanisme yang disebut konvergensi. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan ekonometrika spasial, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji eksistensi konvergensi pendapatan per kapita dan menganalisis pengaruh desentralisasi fiskal terhadap konvergensi pendapatan per kapita pada 113 kabupaten/kota di Pulau Jawa tahun 2015—2019. Pendapatan asli daerah, dana perimbangan, belanja pegawai dan belanja modal digunakan sebagai indikator desentralisasi fiskal. Dengan menggunakan analisis konvergensi dinamis, hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terjadi konvergensi beta absolut dan kondisional pada kabupaten/kota di Pulau Jawa periode 2015-2019. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi regresi spasial dengan model Spatial Autoregressive (SAR), pendapatan asli daerah (PAD), dana perimbangan, dan belanja pegawai memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan pendapatan per kapita, sedangkan belanja barang dan jasa serta belanja modal belum efektif dalam mendukung pertumbuhan pendapatan per kapita. Apabila indikator desentralisasi fiskal ditambahkan dan aspek spasial dipertimbangkan dalam model, maka akan menyebabkan peningkatan kecepatan konvergensi. Peningkatan kualitas belanja menjadi kunci utama percepatan konvergensi.

English Abstract

In order to reduce regional discrepancy, a mechanism called convergence is required. Using the spatial econometric approach, this research aims to assess the existence of per capita income convergence and to analyze the effect of fiscal decentralization on the convergence across 113 regencies and cities in Java during the 2015-2019 period. Here local own-source revenue, balancing fund, employee expenditure, good-and-service expenditure, and capital expenditure were used as the indicators for fiscal decentralization. This study finds that absolute and conditional beta-convergences occur in the studied regions and period. Further, the results of the spatial regression with the Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) model indicate that local own-source revenue, balancing fund, and employee expenditure significantly affect the growth of per capita income, while goods-and-service expenditure and capital expenditure have not been effective in supporting the aforementioned growth. Then, the results of the Moran’s I test suggest that spatial autocorrelations were present in the per capita income growth of regencies and cities in the island. The addition of fiscal decentralization indicator and the consideration of spatial aspect in the model will cause convergence acceleration, in which enhancement in expenditure’s quality becomes the key of the improvement.

Other obstract

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Item Type: Thesis (Magister)
Identification Number: 0423020010
Uncontrolled Keywords: desentralisasi fiskal, konvergensi pendapatan per kapita, ketimpangan regional, ekonometrika spasial, spatial autoregressive, fiscal decentralization, per capita income convergence, regional discrepancy, spatial econometrics, Spatial Autoregressive.
Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Divisions: S2/S3 > Magister Ilmu Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Depositing User: Nur Cholis
Date Deposited: 21 Jul 2023 08:50
Last Modified: 21 Jul 2023 08:50
URI: http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/202059
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