Rasyida, Nabila Ulfa (2021) Kajian Hubungan Antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Pengangguran di Indonesia Periode 1990-2019 (Aplikasi Model Okun). Sarjana thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.
Abstract
Penelitian ini menginvestigasi hubungan antara pertumbuhan ekonomi dan tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia dalam model Hukum Okun. Melalui model gap Hukum Okun yang dianalisis dengan metode nonlinear ARDL, menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan yang negatif, baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Apabila dikaitkan dengan siklus bisnis, diketahui bahwa terdapat pola hubungan yang asimetris antara pertumbuhan ekonomi pada masa resesi dan ekspansi terhadap pengangguran di mana tingkat pengangguran lebih merespon pada fase resesi. Hasil penelitian membuktikan bahwa teori Hukum Okun tidak dapat diterapkan pada kasus Indonesia akibat tingkat pengangguran yang tinggi dengan kualitas tenaga kerja yang cenderung rendah. Sedangkan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi didorong oleh sektor berbasis teknologi yang cenderung padat modal
English Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in Indonesia with Okun’s Law model. Through the Okun’s Law gap model which was analyzed by the Nonlinear ARDL method it showed that there was a negative relationship, both in the short and long term. When it related to business cycle it is showed that there is an asymmetric relationship pattern between economic growth during a recession and an expansion to unemployment rate which is the unemployment rate are more responsive during a recession. The results of the study prove that the theory of Okun’s Law cannot be applied to the case of Indonesia due to the high unemployment rate and the low quality of the labor force. Meanwhile, high economic growth wasdriven by technology-based sectors which tend to be capital intensive
Other obstract
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| Item Type: | Thesis (Sarjana) |
|---|---|
| Identification Number: | 052102 |
| Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ilmu Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Samsul Arifin |
| Date Deposited: | 25 Oct 2021 04:01 |
| Last Modified: | 24 Feb 2022 03:19 |
| URI: | http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/185896 |
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