Peningkatan Nilai Komoditas Agribisnis Lokal dengan Pendekatan Scenario Planning (Studi Pada Komoditas Kelapa di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir, Riau)

-, Bustamin (2018) Peningkatan Nilai Komoditas Agribisnis Lokal dengan Pendekatan Scenario Planning (Studi Pada Komoditas Kelapa di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir, Riau). Magister thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.

Abstract

Strategi pembangunan ekonomi di negara-negara berkembang seperti Indonesia, sektor agraris (pertanian/perkebunan) menjadi pondasi utama bagi masyarakat. Kondisi serupa di Kabupaten Inhil yang senyatanya memiliki keunggulan daerah di sektor perkebunan komoditas kelapa (cocos nucifera). Data menunjukkan bahwa Kabupaten Inhil memiliki produksi kelapa terbesar skala Nasional dan Internasional. Hal ini didukung dengan luas lahan mencapai 429.694 hektare, dan mayoritas (70%) perekonomian masyarakatnya bergantung pada sektor tersebut, namun ironisnya belum mampu mengangkat perekonomiannya. Sehingga Pemerintah Daerah sedang dan akan melakukan berbagai kebijakan/program terkait demikian. Akan tetapi belum berhasil karena tingginya kompleksitas permasalahan dan tingginya ketidakpastian untuk meningkatkan nilai komoditas kelapa. Maka penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan scenario planning dengan teknik analisis Stanford Research Institute (SRI) karena analisis scenario sangat cocok dengan kondisi demikian. Berdasarkan 6 (enam) step formulasi scenario SRI. Dimana step pertama penentuan strategic decisions dan penemuan key decision factors yakni 6 kebijakan/program yang sedang dan akan dilaksanakan oleh Pemerintah Daerah. Selanjutnya untuk step ketiga ekternal forces dilihat dari menganalisis kondisi micro dengan menggunakan five forces Porter, menemukan driving forces didominasi oleh competitors dan customers sedangkan pada level macro menggunakan pendekatan SEPT dimana kekuatan penggeraknya adalah aspek politik dan ekonomi. Dari eksternal forces tersebut kemudian dimasukkan dalam impact uncertainty matrix dan dilakukan pemilahan ketidakpastian bebasnya melalui causal loop diagram. Kemudian menghasilkan 4 Scenario logic yaitu scenario 1 Inhil Gemilang, scenario 2 Inhil Chellenging, scenario 3 Inhil Industry Growth dan scenario 4 Inhil Dreaming. Selanjutnya keempat scenarios tersebut dideskripsikan secara detail bagaimana cara menjalankan scenario tersebut hingga menghasilkan strategi-strategi yang tepat terhadap masing-masing scenario. Kemudian dianalisis Decision implications terhadap dimasing-masing scenario dan akhirnya disimpulkan bahwa untuk meningkatkan nilai komoditas kelapa di Kabupaten Inhil dimasa depan yaitu Inhil Gemilang dan Inhil Industry Growth sebagai scenario optimization. Sedangkan Inhil Challenging sebagai scenario moderate dan Inhil Dreaming menjadi scenario terburuk untuk keberlangsungan industri kelapa di Kabupaten Inhil.

English Abstract

Economic development strategies in developing countries such as Indonesia, agricultural sector (agriculture / plantation) become the main basis of society. Similar conditions in Inhil District actually have regional benefits in coconut plantation sector (Cocos nucifera). The data show that Inhil District has the largest coconut production at national and international level. This is supported by a total area of 429,694 hectares, and the majority (70%) of the economy depends on the industry, but ironically has not been able to boost its economy. So that the local government will implement and implement different policies / programs. However, it was unsuccessful due to the high complexity of the problem and the high uncertainty of increasing the value of coconut raw materials. This research uses a scenario planning approach with the analysis technique of the Stanford Research Institute (SRI), as the scenario analysis with this condition is very suitable. Based on 6 (six) SRI formulations step scenarios. Where the first step in making strategic decisions and identifying the key decision-making factors are six policies/programs being implemented by the regional government. In addition, for the third step, ectopic forces from the analysis of the micro-state through the use of five forces Porter, find driving forces dominated by competitors and customers, while at the macro level with SEPT approach, where the driving force is political and economic aspect. The external forces are then included in the impact uncertainty matrix and the uncertainty is sorted freely by the causal loop diagram. Then Producer 4 Scenario Logic, that is Scenario 1 Inhil Gemilang, Scenario 2 Inhil Chellenging, Scenario 3 Inhil Industry Growth and Scenario 4 Inhil Dreaming. In addition, the four scenarios describe in detail how the scenario is executed to create appropriate strategies for each scenario. Then, Decision analyzed implications for each scenario and concluded that Inhil Gemilang and Inhil Industry Growth are serving as a scenario optimization to increase the value of coconut raw materials in Inhil District in the future. While Inhil Challenging as a moderate scenario and Inhil Dreaming is the worst scenario for the sustainability of the coconut industry in Inhil district

Other obstract

-

Item Type:	Thesis (Magister)
Identification Number:	TES/338.1/BUS/p/2018/041805941
Uncontrolled Keywords:	REGIONAL PLANNING, AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
Subjects:	300 Social sciences > 338 Production > 338.1 Agriculture
Divisions:	S2/S3 > Magister Ilmu Administrasi Publik, Fakultas Ilmu Administrasi
Depositing User:	Budi Wahyono Wahyono
Date Deposited:	02 Jan 2020 02:54
Last Modified:	19 Oct 2021 05:42
URI:	http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/177502

	Text Bustamin (2).pdf Download (6MB)
	Other (Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox) lightbox.jpg Download (19kB)
	Other (Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview) preview.jpg Download (8kB)
	Other (Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium) medium.jpg Download (2kB)
	Other (Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small) small.jpg Download (1kB)

Actions (login required)

View Item