Panglipur, DiahRetno (2015) Analisis Pengaruh Kebijakan Pengendalian Impor Kendaraan Bermotor Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan. Sarjana thesis, Universitas Brawijaya.
Abstract
Kenaikan impor kendaraan bermotor dapat memiliki dua pengaruh terhadap neraca perdagangan, yakni dapat menurunkan neraca perdagangan dan dapat pula meningkatkan neraca perdagangan melalui pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah. Tanggal 15 Maret 2012 Bank Indonesia mengeluarkan aturan besaran uang muka kredit kendaraan bermotor (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) guna membatasi kredit kendaraan bermotor yang selanjutnya diharapkan dapat memperlambat laju impor kendaraan bermotor. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah kebijakan pengendalian impor kendaraan bermotor yang berupa aturan besaran uang muka kredit kendaraan bermotor (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) dapat efektif mempengaruhi neraca perdagangan yang dilihat melalui pengaruh impor kendaraan bermotor baik secara langsung maupun melalui nilai tukar rupiah. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah sistem persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan pengendalian impor kendaraan bermotor yang berupa aturan besaran uang muka kredit kendaraan bermotor (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) tidak efektif mengendalikan impor kendaraan bermotor. Sedangkan impor kendaraan bermotor memiliki pengaruh terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dan selanjutnya nilai tukar rupiah juga berpengaruh terhadap neraca perdagangan. Sehingga, dapat dikatakan bahwa impor kendaraan bermotor memiliki pengaruh secara tidak langsung terhadap neraca perdagangan yakni melalui nilai tukar rupiah. Di sisi lain, impor kendaraan bermotor juga memiliki pengaruh secara langsung terhadap neraca perdagangan.
English Abstract
The increase in vehicles import can have two influences towards the trade balance, it can decrease the trade balance and also it can increase the trade balance through the depreciation of exchange rate. In March 15th 2012, Bank of Indonesia has been issued about the rule of down payment on vehicles credit (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) to restricting the vehicles credit, furthermore expected can retarding the rapid of vehicles import. This research goals is to find out is vehicles import controlling policy namely the rule of down payment on vehicles credit (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) can effective influence the trade balance is seen through direct influence of vehicles import although through exchange rate. Analytical method used in this research is simultaneous equation system with Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) method. The result of this research shows that vehicles import controlling policy namely the rule of down payment on vehicles credit (SE BI No.14/10/DPNP) cant effective to controlling vehicles import. Meanwhile vehicles import have influence to exchange rate, furthermore exchange rate also influence the trade balance. So it can be said that vehicles import have indirect influence towards the trade balance namely through exchange rate. In other side, vehicles import also have direct influence towards the trade balance.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Sarjana) |
|---|---|
| Identification Number: | SKR/FE/2015/288/ 051503764 |
| Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Ilmu Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Kustati |
| Date Deposited: | 18 Jun 2015 11:22 |
| Last Modified: | 18 Jun 2015 11:22 |
| URI: | http://repository.ub.ac.id/id/eprint/107872 |
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